{"id":60225,"date":"2013-07-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-12-04T07:36:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aprifel-pp.mentalworks.biz\/fr\/resume-scientifique\/health-and-economic-burden-of-obesity-in-brazil\/"},"modified":"2018-12-04T08:36:04","modified_gmt":"2018-12-04T07:36:04","slug":"health-and-economic-burden-of-obesity-in-brazil","status":"publish","type":"resume","link":"https:\/\/aprifel-pp.mentalworks.biz\/fr\/resume-scientifique\/health-and-economic-burden-of-obesity-in-brazil\/","title":{"rendered":"Health and economic burden of obesity in Brazil."},"content":{"rendered":"

INTRODUCTION<\/strong>
\nHigher and lower-middle income countries are increasingly affected by obesity. Obesity-related diseases are placing a substantial health and economic burden on Brazil. Our aim is to measure the future consequences of these trends on the associated disease burden and health care costs.<\/p>\n

METHOD<\/strong>
\nA previously developed micro-simulation model is used to project the extent of obesity, obesity-related diseases and associated healthcare costs to 2050. In total, thirteen diseases were considered: coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, diabetes, osteoarthritis, and eight cancers. We simulated three hypothetical intervention scenarios: no intervention, 1% and 5% reduction in body mass index (BMI).<\/p>\n

RESULTS<\/strong>
\nIn 2010, nearly 57% of the Brazilian male population was overweight or obese (BMI ≥25 kg\/m²), but the model projects rates as high as 95% by 2050. A slightly less pessimistic picture is predicted for females, increasing from 43% in 2010 to 52% in 2050. Coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, cancers, osteoarthritis and diabetes prevalence cases are projected to at least double by 2050, reaching nearly 34,000 cases of hypertension by 2050 (per 100,000). 1% and 5% reduction in mean BMI will save over 800 prevalence cases and nearly 3,000 cases of hypertension by 2050 respectively (per 100,000). The health care costs will double from 2010 ($5.8 billion) in 2050 alone ($10.1 billion). Over 40 years costs will reach $330 billion. However, with effective interventions the costs can be reduced to $302 billion by 1% and to $273 billion by 5% reduction in mean BMI across the population.<\/p>\n

CONCLUSION<\/strong>
\nObesity rates are rapidly increasing creating a high burden of disease and associated costs. However, an effective intervention to decrease obesity by just 1% will substantially reduce obesity burden and will have a significant effect on health care expenditure.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","mots_cles":[],"class_list":["post-60225","resume","type-resume","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"adresse":"Micro Health Simulations, London, United Kingdom. ketevan.rtveladze@heartforum.org.uk","annee":"2013","mois":"7","numero":"8:7","page":"e68785","auteurs":[{"ID":1778,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2018-12-03 16:02:30","post_date_gmt":"2018-12-03 15:02:30","post_content":"","post_title":"Laura Webber","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"laura-webber","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2018-12-03 16:02:30","post_modified_gmt":"2018-12-03 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